Lesson 1.1: Problem Tree Analysis

Quality Checklist

Use this self-assessment to ensure your Problem Tree meets quality standards before engaging stakeholders in Lesson 1.2.

Quality Assurance Decision Flow

graph TD
    START["🌳 Preliminary Problem Tree<br/>from AI-Assisted Research"]

    %% Checkpoint 1: Core Problem Review
    CP1{"✓ CHECKPOINT 1<br/>Core Problem<br/>Quality Check"}
    CP1_PASS["✅ Specific, observable,<br/>no embedded causes"]
    CP1_FAIL["❌ Generic, vague, or<br/>has embedded solutions"]
    CP1_FIX["🔧 Revise Core Problem<br/>Refer to Step 2<br/>Define clear scope"]

    %% Checkpoint 2: Root Causes Review
    CP2{"✓ CHECKPOINT 2<br/>Root Causes<br/>Quality Check"}
    CP2_PASS["✅ 2-3 levels deep,<br/>(E) and (A) tagged,<br/>multi-dimensional"]
    CP2_FAIL["❌ Shallow, untagged,<br/>single-dimension"]
    CP2_FIX["🔧 Deepen Cause Analysis<br/>Refer to Step 8<br/>Add (E) and (A) tags"]

    %% Checkpoint 3: Effects & Research Review
    CP3{"✓ CHECKPOINT 3<br/>Effects & Research<br/>Quality Check"}
    CP3_PASS["✅ Time horizons mapped,<br/>sources verified,<br/>gaps acknowledged"]
    CP3_FAIL["❌ No time dimension,<br/>unverified sources,<br/>no gaps identified"]
    CP3_FIX["🔧 Strengthen Effects<br/>& Research<br/>Refer to Steps 6 & 9"]

    %% Final Outputs
    READY["🎯 READY FOR<br/>STAKEHOLDER<br/>VALIDATION<br/>(Lesson 1.2)"]
    QUESTIONS["📝 8-10 Validation<br/>Questions Prepared<br/>from (A) items"]

    %% Flow
    START --> CP1
    CP1 -->|Pass| CP1_PASS --> CP2
    CP1 -->|Fail| CP1_FAIL --> CP1_FIX --> CP1

    CP2 -->|Pass| CP2_PASS --> CP3
    CP2 -->|Fail| CP2_FAIL --> CP2_FIX --> CP2

    CP3 -->|Pass| CP3_PASS --> QUESTIONS
    CP3 -->|Fail| CP3_FAIL --> CP3_FIX --> CP3

    QUESTIONS --> READY

    %% Festa Colors
    style START fill:#F59E0B,stroke:#D97706,stroke-width:2px,color:#1F2937
    style CP1 fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style CP2 fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style CP3 fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style CP1_PASS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP2_PASS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP3_PASS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP1_FAIL fill:#E12729,stroke:#B91C1C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP2_FAIL fill:#E12729,stroke:#B91C1C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP3_FAIL fill:#E12729,stroke:#B91C1C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP1_FIX fill:#F37324,stroke:#E05C1B,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP2_FIX fill:#F37324,stroke:#E05C1B,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP3_FIX fill:#F37324,stroke:#E05C1B,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style QUESTIONS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style READY fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff

How to use this diagram: Follow the decision flow through three quality checkpoints. If you pass all three, you're ready to convert assumptions into stakeholder questions and proceed to validation. If you fail any checkpoint, the diagram guides you to specific steps for improvement.

Core Problem Quality

Your core problem statement is the anchor for everything else. It should be crystal clear.

Root Causes Analysis

Strong root cause analysis goes deep, covers multiple dimensions, and distinguishes evidence from assumptions.

Effects Mapping

Effects demonstrate why solving this problem matters—to individuals, families, communities, and systems.

Research Quality

Your Problem Tree should be backed by credible research while acknowledging knowledge gaps.

Scoring Your Problem Tree

Count your checkmarks across all four sections:

  • 16-18 checks: Excellent! Your Problem Tree is ready for stakeholder validation.
  • 13-15 checks: Good foundation. Address gaps before engaging stakeholders.
  • 10-12 checks: Needs work. Revisit the Step-by-Step Guide and strengthen weak areas.
  • Below 10: Go back to Phase 2 or 3 of the implementation process. Your analysis needs more development.

Common Questions

"How many causes and effects should I have?"

Quality over quantity. Aim for 4-6 direct causes (with 2-3 underlying causes each = 8-18 total causes) and 4-6 effects across time horizons. More isn't better—clarity is.

"What if I can't verify sources from AI?"

If sources don't check out, tag those findings (A) and note "AI-suggested, needs verification" in your documentation. Be transparent about it.

"Should everything be validated before I write proposals?"

No. You'll never have 100% certainty. Stakeholder validation refines and strengthens—it doesn't have to eliminate all (A) tags. Be honest about remaining uncertainties in proposals.

Next Steps

After completing this checklist:

  1. If ready: Move to Lesson 1.2: Stakeholder Mapping & Engagement to plan your validation approach
  2. If gaps remain: Revisit Step-by-Step Guide or Templates & Tools to strengthen your analysis
  3. Want inspiration: Check Examples to see completed Problem Trees from real projects